Why Open Sim is the Future Metaverse (and why it is not the present)
I have been following the Open Sim development for a couple of years now. Some of the latest developments have convinced me that if there is ever going to be a 3D internet, it will be based on Open Sim. I say this knowing that Open Sim currently has a rather low population of participants, low enough that one could question the sanity of such a statement. Well here is a brief summary of this conclusion.
What is a 3D internet?
A 3D internet is one that is navigable in 3 dimensions rather than two. Instead of websites, you have explorable regions. Instead of 2D text chatting, you have 3D avatar chats.
Why is a 3D internet inevitable?
Sometimes things can be explained easier visually rather than textually, and 3D often gets visual points across better than 2D. For example if you are a photographer with a website, and you want people to see your photographs and find the ones they like best for purchase, the “slideshow” approach is a bad way to do it. After the 4th or 5th click, people start to wonder if it is worth it. Immerse the visitor into a 3D gallery of your photos and people will venture around, allowing them to find the pictures they most like fast.
Hyperlinks in 3D
The thing that got me interested in talking about the 3D web again is the recent development of “hypergrid” teleporting. Teleporting from region to region is easy if your start point and end point are on the same grid, but the 2D World Wide Web is built on the ability to move from page to page, where the pages are often on different sites and different hosts. The development of a 3D web requires the ability to move from grid to grid, and from host to host.
While far from perfect, that obstacle has been resolved. It is now possible to move from grid to grid without needing to create accounts on every grid or closing your browser. The picture above is the OSGrid me meeting the Reaction Grid me after clicking on a “hypergrid” link.
It works similarly to the slurl’s in SL except if your destination is on a different grid, your avatar is uploaded to the new grid and your name changes to firstname.lastname @ gridyoucamefrom to prevent conflicting names. It is really cool when it works, but unfortunately a lot can go wrong. Instructions can be found here, if you want to try it.
Not all hypergrid enabled regions can reach all other hypergrid regions. Took me about a dozen tried to find a combo that worked. To get from OSGrid to Reaction Grid, I found a region called Hypergrid Market Middle on OSGrid (a very boring place BTW), then clicked on this link: secondlife://hypergrid.reactiongrid.com:9009
Eventually all the bugs will get ironed out and an independent 3D web will really start to develop.
Why will the 3D Internet be based on Open Sim?
It wont be Second Life. There are many reasons. First, a 3D internet cannot be controlled by one company. Second, it is inappropriate for a 3D internet to be under a virtual economy if it is going to be universally adapted. Thirdly, the designers of Open Sim are moving away from SL’s strict protocols. Open Sim regions no longer have to be strictly 256m x 256m, they can be larger. Researchers have managed to put 200 avatars on a single region, and have run up to 40 regions on a single server. Open Sim offers a flexibility that SL cannot offer.
It wont Be Blue Mars, IMVU or any other current 3D Virtual World. These all do what they do well enough, but they are all designed to be proprietary. IMVU is strictly a chat program in 3D, Blue Mars is a gaming platform.
The only real open flexible 3D platform that could be competitive is OpenCobalt. It interfaces with Google protocols allowing Sketchup KMZ files used in Google Earth, allowing import of the huge library of 3D objects in Google’s database, as well as in the OBJ format. This is stuff OpenSim still can not do. My knowledge of OpenCobalt is small, but there are three reasons why OpenSim will win: 1. it is already proven scalable technology, 2. More developers are working on Open Sim than OpenCobalt, 3. It is a lot easier to add KMZ and OBJ support to OpenSim than it is to add the OpenSim scalable multi-region stuff to OpenCobalt.
Of course, something designed from scratch could be better than OpenSim, but it would take years to develop, and OpenSim has a huge head start. Network protocols could be designed to replace TCP/IP as well, but would never be implemented because TCP/IP is too well entrenched. I believe we have reached a point where we are stuck with OpenSim. Improving the platform is easier than rewriting it.
If OpenSim is the future, why is it not more popular now?
This is a very valid question. SL has more than three times as many regions (32,000) as all of the OpenSim Grids combined (10,500). The OpenSim grids are growing at a rate of 10% a month so far this year, while SL has only grown 1.4%. That’s the best stat comparison.
SL has more than 500 times the number of accounts as OpenSim, and over 100 times the number of active players. At any given time, about 60 to 70% of all regions in SL are uninhabited. In OpenSim, that percent is closer to 99%. OpenSims one advantage is cost. It costs 10 times as much to get a dedicated region in SL as it does to get one on OSGrid, but your SL region is 100 times more likely to get visitors than in OS, so if you want visitors, the premium is probably worth it.
Why the horrible stats? I like to think of the 2D internet as it existed 20 years ago. SL is AOL, and the WWW is a couple of years away. The people who were on the web at that time were students, researchers, hobbyists, some businesses and governments. So who are the few people on OpenSim? students, researchers, hobbyists, some businesses and governments.
When it became obvious that the open WWW was superior to AOL, everyone flocked to WWW. I’m hopeful that history will repeat again with OS and SL. On the other hand, maybe it is more accurate to think of SL as “Windows” and OS as “Linux”, and OS will be forever stuck as a niche platform despite its parity.